Galaxy Securities: Domestic policies may continue to increase, and metal prices are expected to go up. china galaxy Securities said that on the demand side, the domestic package of economic incremental policies played a significant role. In November, China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.30%, which was in the expansion range for two consecutive months, and the expansion pace was slightly accelerated. The domestic central economic work conference is just around the corner, and it is expected to put forward more positive incremental policy instructions for the economy next year, continue to raise the expectation of macro-recovery, and benefit the rise of copper prices. In addition, the new non-agricultural data in November in the United States reflected that the negative impact of hurricanes and strikes dissipated, but the number of new jobs in the first two months was revised up and the unemployment rate rose, which made the market worry about weak employment. After the data was released, traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December. It is expected that the possibility of the Fed's interest rate cut in December will rise from 67% before the report was released to 85%, and now it has risen to 86%. However, China's central bank once again increased its holdings of gold by nearly 5 tons after half a year in November, indicating that the logic and willingness of global central banks to increase their holdings of gold are still there in the current geopolitical turmoil. The expected warming of interest rate cuts, the central bank's continued increase in gold holdings, and the recent short-term martial law in South Korea and the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine are expected to jointly support the price of gold.The director of the South Korean Police Department and the director of the Seoul Police Department were forbidden to leave the country. On December 10th, local time, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department took measures to prohibit the director of the South Korean Police Department Zhao Zhihao and the director of the Seoul Police Department Jin Fengzhi from leaving the country.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 3.489 billion yuan. As of December 9, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 951.454 billion yuan, an increase of 223 million yuan over the previous trading day; The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 901.246 billion yuan, an increase of 3.266 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,852.70 billion yuan, an increase of 3.489 billion yuan over the previous trading day.
Under the background of global energy structure transformation, methanol-based ethanol-hydrogen electric vehicle technology has gradually emerged in recent years, which not only further enriches the technical route of vehicle electrification, but also provides new ideas for solving the problems of energy security and emission reduction in transportation in China. The reporter learned that at present, Liaoning, Shanxi, Tianjin and other places are actively promoting policies to accelerate the development of the alcohol-hydrogen electric vehicle industry, and some car companies represented by Geely are also stepping up their layout to compete for a new track in this industry. According to industry insiders, alcohol-hydrogen electric vehicles have many advantages and there is huge room for future development. (Economic Information Daily)25 shares were rated by brokers, and Ziguang Guowei's target rose by 48.59%. On December 9, a total of 25 stocks were rated by brokers, and 5 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Ziguang Guowei, Shaanxi Coal Industry and Zhongju High-tech are among the top gainers, with gains of 48.59%, 39.54% and 33.95% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 18 stocks remain unchanged and 7 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, two stocks have attracted the attention of many brokers, among which Zhongju Hi-tech and Shaanxi Coal were ranked in the top number, with three and two brokers giving ratings respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the buy-rated stocks belong, the number of buy-rated stocks in technical hardware and equipment, semiconductor and semiconductor production equipment, food, beverage and tobacco is the largest, with 6, 4 and 4 respectively.Five A-shares registered today, among which Longyan Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, five A-shares registered today. Among them, 5 shares are intended to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, date of record, where 5 stocks pay dividends, is December 10th. Longbai Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 3 yuan, 2.2 yuan and 1.83 yuan for every 10 shares. In addition, there are 7 shares that have made dividend plans, among which Radio and Television Metrology, Cube Pharmaceutical and Hefei Hi-Tech have the strongest dividend plans, and every 10 shares will be distributed to 2.5 yuan, 2 yuan and 1 yuan respectively.
The snow removal operation of several expressways in Gansu Province continued due to the temporary control of snowfall. It was learned from the traffic police department of Gansu Province that due to the large-scale snowfall and road icing, as of 7: 30 on the 10th, several expressways in Gansu Province were temporarily controlled. The highway maintenance department is continuously carrying out ice and snow removal operations.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.Galaxy Securities: When the IP layout of "Millet Economy" was carried out, the china galaxy Securities Research Report indicated that "Millet Economy" was highly prosperous, and high-quality IP was the key. In 2024, IP products will continue to maintain a high degree of popularity, from Xiaoma Baolika brand in the first half of the year to Guzi store and Jellycat pop-up shop since the third quarter, with strong market demand. It is believed that IP creation is the core of "millet" and tide play consumption, and the influence of IP plays an important role in attracting fans and integrating multiple formats. As the key to accumulate users and break the circle of products, high-quality IP can attract consumers and extend the product life cycle. Therefore, in the current environment of high market attention and strong demand, the high prosperity of high-quality IP products is expected to be maintained. It is suggested to follow up on two tracks: the track with stable performance foundation or obvious supply-side recovery, and the track with high cost performance, and the elastic variety with incremental dimension or improvement of external factors: 1) Hong Kong stock Internet: the profit improvement expectation of Head Internet Company is strengthened, and the cost performance of investment is prominent. It is suggested to pay attention to Tencent Holdings, which has steady growth in various businesses and stable fundamentals, and the Internet video platform company, which turned losses for the first time in a single quarter and continuously improved its profitability. 2) Publishing industry: The publishing industry will accelerate the development of digitalization, personalization, customization and intelligence, and the new amount of AI+ publishing and research business will bring new opportunities to the industry, and the market value management of central enterprises will be included in the assessment. It is suggested to pay attention to: Shandong Publishing and Southern Media, which are stable in fundamentals and have certain business incremental space; 3) Cinema & Game Industry: High-quality content is always a scarce resource in the industry. It is suggested to pay attention to the game and cinema companies under AI empowerment: Shenzhou Taiyue, Bona Film, WANDA CINEMAS and so on, which have rich content reserves. 4) With regard to IP derivatives, it is recommended to pay attention to POP MART, the leader of the IP craze retail market.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13